Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.320351 0.422913 0.535324 0.665769 0.811269 0.967088 1.145172
2025-08-31 0.164849 0.291313 0.448299 0.647524 0.885589 1.154506 1.475483
2025-09-07 0.099858 0.231061 0.411415 0.654910 0.958462 1.311813 1.743324
2025-09-14 0.053865 0.178404 0.371218 0.648153 1.006988 1.435600 1.968941
2025-09-21 0.023681 0.133288 0.329701 0.630442 1.034607 1.528615 2.153349
2025-09-28 0.013430 0.120104 0.332153 0.669688 1.132751 1.705861 2.436836
2025-10-05 0.007709 0.113061 0.342325 0.718448 1.242409 1.896773 2.736464
2025-10-12 0.003248 0.103062 0.345029 0.754963 1.335020 2.066011 3.009661
2025-10-19 0.001606 0.101995 0.363070 0.813850 1.457421 2.272572 3.328366
2025-10-26 0.000334 0.096501 0.371472 0.857528 1.558958 2.452750 3.614942
2025-11-02 NaN 0.081554 0.358331 0.866527 1.612257 2.571256 3.825616
2025-11-09 NaN 0.053741 0.310168 0.816129 1.580823 2.579777 3.899428
2025-11-16 NaN 0.029786 0.259917 0.758951 1.540027 2.578725 3.966036
2025-11-23 NaN 0.017921 0.233692 0.739114 1.550873 2.644085 4.115368
2025-11-30 NaN 0.012410 0.224077 0.747109 1.601198 2.760524 4.328116
2025-12-07 NaN 0.006766 0.207276 0.739843 1.627857 2.844968 4.500083
2025-12-14 NaN 0.002360 0.185804 0.720852 1.635345 2.902797 4.637515
2025-12-21 NaN 0.002175 0.194961 0.762925 1.736116 3.086418 4.935708
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002458 0.209010 0.815094 1.852567 3.291423 5.261494
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002139 0.216604 0.854088 1.948815 3.469225 5.552648
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002887 0.235744 0.916859 2.081844 3.696981 5.907969
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002883 0.246905 0.963332 2.189852 3.891000 6.220279
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001438 0.240212 0.972898 2.240857 4.007832 6.433805